Dr. Gary Karlin Michelson, Found Animals Foundation, Forbes billionaire, 20 Million Minds, Alya

Dr. Gary Karlin Michelson, Found Animals Foundation, Forbes billionaire, 20 Million Minds, Alya
Dr. Gary Karlin Michelson, Found Animals Foundation, Forbes billionaire, 20 Million Minds, Alya

Monday, February 3, 2014

Aimee Gilbreath of Gary Michelson Found Animals Foundation spews misinformation

Someone who knows animals, has common sense, half a brain and can do math should have known that this statement is totally untrue. Aimee Gilbreath handled the facebook page at this time. Roll, misinformation.

Gary Michelson, Found Animals Foundation, Aimee Gilbreath
The story goes something like this,

Average number of litters a fertile dog can produce in one year: 2
Average number of puppies in a canine litter: 6–10
In six years, one female dog and her offspring can theoretically produce 67,000 dogs.

See the word "theoretically"? This is of course impossible.

One dog could only make 67,000 dogs if they had 8 pups per litter. Small dogs have 1-2. Regular sized dogs have 4-6. Pits have up to 8.

Not all puppies survive birth. Not all puppies live to maturity to reproduce. On the street 1/4 survive to maturity. They forget the mortality rate. They forget that half of the puppies are male and can't make babies by themselves.

Even if a pup lives long enough to reproduce, it may not live six years on the street. They forget the attrition rate.

Not all dogs have two litters a year. In colder areas they have one. They also have a higher mortality rate.

Some dogs will end up being spayed or neutered. They assume no dogs will ever be spayed or neutered. They assume none will be picked up by animal control.

The real number is much, much lower. If one female dog could make 67,000 dogs in six years, we'd all be dead in the US. They estimate 44,000 stray dogs in the city of Los Angeles. Most stray dogs are not neutered. There wouldn't be enough water or oxygen if all those dogs were reproducing. In fact number of stray dogs, population of dogs has gone down even though we have not neutered most dogs.

Aimee is supposed to be a business major yet can't do basic math. The other lie is,

Average number of litters a fertile cat can produce in one year: 3
Average number of kittens in a feline litter: 4–6
In seven years, one female cat and her offspring can theoretically produce 420,000 cats.

Again, if those numbers were true cats would cover the earth. How can Aimee be so stupid? I got the numbers right in the report I made for Gary. One check over on Snopes and you get this,

"The Internet is home to an urban legend that one female cat and her offspring can generate some 400,000 cats in seven years. The University of Washington’s Math Department, working with data from a study of feral cats in North Carolina, set that legend to rest with this projection:

“Here are the assumptions used for the population projection: One female cat gives birth to six kittens per year. Kitten gender is 50 percent female, and only 25 percent of kittens survive to reproductive age. All surviving female kittens become adults and reproduce with the same birth and kitten mortality rates. If no adult cats ever die, how many cats/kittens would there be at the end of seven years? One female cat and her offspring could produce between 100 and 400 cats by the end of seven years.”"

Notice how many thing Aimee got wrong. Still, 100 to 400 is still high. We'd be over run with cats if that were true. Common sense, anyone?

Aimee Gilbreath's husband Jonathan Daves is an expert in non-profit giving. He should be giving her some tips. They've been dating for at least three years. I wonder if Aimee hired him to consult for Gary for money. Probably. Aimee also gives money to her personal friends.

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